Kiwis must save - Bollard

BY DAVID HARGREAVES
Last updated 10:03 14/07/2009

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Reserve Bank Governor Alan Bollard is urging New Zealanders to save more and reduce debt in order to help our economy recover.

In a speech to a Hawke's Bay business audience today Bollard said New Zealand's economy was likely to "start recovery ahead of the pack" from the global upheavals of the past year.

But a "clear risk" over the medium term was that Kiwi households resume their "borrow and spend" habit before they have paid down some of their existing debt. "This could be triggered by renewed moderate house price inflation, and needs to be avoided," he said.

New Zealand is seen internationally as having a poor record in savings with a result that a lot of personal investment is undertaken with borrowed money. This means extensive borrowing offshore, which has resulted in the country running up big current account deficits - the difference between what the country earns overseas from its exports and investments and what it pays for its imports and the investments foreigners have in New Zealand. The high levels of these current account deficits are of concern internationally.

Bollard said that with slower growth in household income now expected, households will have to reduce spending growth in order to reduce debt. "Reliance on past experience of strong house price inflation and easy credit will be untenable."

While there were now signs of a global recovery, and a Great Depression had been avoided, world growth was likely to remain subdued for the next year or two, Bollard said. The current low international interest rates, expansion of liquidity and central bank balance sheets and the fiscal stimuli would be necessary for some time.

This was now an opportunity for New Zealand to rebalance.

"Getting the sort of sustainable recovery we want will be assisted by: first, greater savings by the household sector, to reduce the need for foreign funding of the economy; second, investment in the economy's productive base, particularly in the tradable sector; and third, greater durability and depth in funding markets, including a lengthened maturity structure for bank funding," Bollard said.

A priority over the coming year or so would be for New Zealand banks to diversify their funding sources more and to increase the proportion of stable funding sources, including long-term wholesale borrowing and retail deposits.

Bollard said that increased household saving would have the added advantage of providing a more stable source of funds for business investment and expansion, reducing reliance on foreign funding. This would contribute to more stable and lower interest rates, thus promoting a more sustainable growth path.

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- © Fairfax NZ News

27 comments
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Ryansway   #27   10:02 pm Jul 14 2009

Bollards comments hiked the NZD 1 whole cent, wow... some speech!!!

Shouldn't you have been locked away in your office creating strategies to reverse the dollars trend? we're really surprised the farmers in HB allowed to you leave .. how many millions did your irresponsible self-indulgent warm fuzzies cost exporters?

The country really needs cheap imported LCD tv's and interest free loans to go because thanks to you Mr Bollard, that's the only way New Zealanders will ever be able to afford them.

Next time you think of something nice to say about our economy, check with people who have a clue because clearly you are OUT OF TOUCH!

Matthew   #26   05:27 pm Jul 14 2009

Sounds great! as soon as they scrap my student loan, I will! It's taking 10% of my income, which is incidentally what the recommended savings level is.

Chris   #25   02:28 pm Jul 14 2009

I tried saving, then Petrecevic blew it all on his holiday house in Fiji. Safest place to 'save' my money is on the mortgage. Govt should let us put 100% of kiwisaver into our mortgage instead of unsecured funds. Then I might join up.

K   #24   02:27 pm Jul 14 2009

I obviously read this differently to what most people do. I read this as the most important part:

Bollard said that with slower growth in household income now expected, households will have to reduce spending growth in order to reduce debt.

If you reduce your spending, you will reduce your debt - if you aren't spending as much then you have more money to pay of your debts - hire purchases, mortgages etc etc. As you pay that money back to wherever you have borrowed it, they are able to pay back the foreign investors who they have borrowed the money from, thereby reducing the currents debts and enabling us to pull ourselves out of this slump...

But that's just me!

Rob   #23   02:18 pm Jul 14 2009

I think its pretty much common sense that you should not be in debt... hes saying we should save to get ourselves out of debt. Learn2Read and stop being stupid. By all means dont save and get further into debt, prove mr Bollard wrong, go on... prove him wrong.. I mean hsi advice is really really backwards right.

ShahMan   #22   01:59 pm Jul 14 2009

Save, what save

$300 rent for two people, $50 on gas a week, $150 at the supermarket, Phone, power, Overrated expensive Broadband. Oh these were the basics only.

Andy   #21   01:58 pm Jul 14 2009

Sorry Bollard, could you run it past me again and explain where the incentive is for me to save?

And which scam should I invest my wonderful savings in?

Many of the above posters seem to have got it right, there IS NO incentive to save.

Give me strength

Mickey   #20   01:46 pm Jul 14 2009

Clearly Mr Bollard is well removed from the reality from most Kiwi's daily grind - jobs are being lost in the hundreds per week, increasing basic livings costs (look at our current power accounts...just for starters)I think it is hard enought for the average kiwi to just get by let alone save!!! and what about the ongoing mixed messages which change from month to month or week to week, depending on what publication you read...save, spend, save, spend....no sign of any long term strategy - what is it about hammering the wider community...with it being our fault - it is about time that there was some accountability and responsibility and long term strategy that is consistent further up the food chain....Just give me a break!!!! I am over this!!!!!

Graeme   #19   01:18 pm Jul 14 2009

My wife & I have been a saver all our lives and we get penalised for doing so. We get taxed to hell on our "savings" and as FrankieTee said, if you get made redundant you don't get any assistance if you have "SAVED". I wrote to the previous governments' “Monetary Policy” Sub Committee, stating there is no incentive to save. If you invest into property you get all these tax breaks but if you invest in banks & finance companies you get none. Now correct me if I’m wrong, but wasn’t it property over capitalization the cause of this latest mess?? Both Labor and National disagreed with me in that property investors are advantaged over investors. As for financial advisors, we used a very reputable advisory company only to lose much of our savings. Oh, the Govt. says, “Do your homework” – yea right!! If financial advisors get duped by corrupt financial companies, what chance do the “Ma & Pa” investors have – NONE! I say, SPEND, SPEND, SPEND and cry to the Govt. when you are old and broke as they seem to help those who cant help themselves!! Bollard is correct in that we “should save”, but the powers that be have their own agenda – check out how many politicians have financial property investments – you will be surprised!

milton   #18   12:33 pm Jul 14 2009

How are we meant to save? Local Government keeps on increasing rates, and Central Government is allowing the banks and the power companies to rip us off. Were not all on high paying salaries like the MP's and the Prime minister. Sure I would save if I were paid as much as they were, or have Multi-millions in the bank like John Key, but most New Zealanders are barely getting by - and have the MP's forgotten we are in a recession at the moment and alot of people are loosing thier jobs.


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