Europe could descend into the political aggression of its past if the eurozone is left to fail, according to Prime Minister John Key.
Key told hundreds of businesspeople at KPMG's annual tax briefing in Auckland today that his recent trip to Europe had reinforced his belief that the euro will not "blow up" because it was considered more of a political alliance than an economic one by EU nations.
"The problem is they see it as totally political, so if Spain goes then France goes and if France goes then, well, you're back to a situation of aggression and real concern politically in Europe like we've had so often before in the past.
"So those leaders are not letting the thing go down, they will not, they'll do whatever it takes, but the problem is they'll just kick the can along the road. They'll do enough to get themselves through, but not enough to fix the problem.
"I'm not saying there aren't good markets in Europe, I'm not saying there aren't great opportunities, but I'm telling you now there will not be very substantial growth in Europe for a long period of time," Key said.
His comments came as local shares slipped on renewed fears of a European collapse.
Reports out of the Euro summit this morning suggested leaders were battling to find a way to help support Spanish and Italian bond levels, with Germany still refusing to compromise on the issue of common eurozone bonds without greater fiscal controls.
Even the powerhouse German economy was leveraged with debt amounting to 80 per cent of its GDP, where as New Zealand was at about 23 per cent, said Key.
Greeks regarded not paying taxes as a "national pastime" so the government there was resorting to a property tax which, if not paid, would result in utility services being cut to the property, he said.
The Spanish were facing a $340 billion housing bubble based on property built for English visitors who were now not coming: "So that's a write off; it's South Canterbury Finance on steroids basically," said Key.
"If you want my view there will not be growth in Europe in any meaningful way for a very long period of time they just do not have the levers to pull to make their economies go faster."
Key said his government was doing the right thing by "holding course" with its economic policy.
"[Australasia] is in great shape; we've got very flexible economies, we're not indebted and we just need to keep holding that course.
"We are not that correlated to Europe, it's just a problem if Europe slows down China and Australia."
"The trouble for New Zealand is the low hanging fruit has already been plucked, the really easy things to do just aren't there anymore.
"You can't just go and liberalise this and that. We've got liberal trade laws, and flexible labour markets and we have unicameral [one house] government, we have pretty low levels of bureaucracy," he said.
- © Fairfax NZ News
Sponsored links
Investors advised to stick with MRP
Tis the season for savvy home buyers
Tourism, exports to give deficit respite
Gold Awards to showcase business successes
Smartphone app links to home line
Construction jobs on the decline in Christchurch
New EPL service offers big savings for fans
Fonterra to halt future landfarm collections
Christchurch construction jobs on the decline
Call for foreign ownership debate
Spotlight on Maori agribusiness
Warning on overuse of hillbilly heroin
Young guns set to debut for the All Blacks
Crown defends 'shonky science' in Lundy case
Sportspeople stand out as most trusted Kiwis
New EPL service offers big savings for fans
Robson: Hansen misses midfield opportunity
Steven Adams hoping for NBA draft night invite
Animosity with Brownlee 'history' - Dalziel
Christchurch construction jobs on the decline
Tis the season for savvy home buyers
Ball-goers keep up with Kardashians
New EPL service offers big savings for fans
Kiwi's first baseball game goes wrong
Big chill brings new flooding risk
Sesame Street creates a Muppet whose dad is in jail
Early-season Man United, Chelsea match-up
Spaghetti-eating driver in fatal crash
Nurse 'lets slip Kimye baby name'
Hairy-leg stockings cause a storm
The most powerful thing you'll see today
