'Patchy' economy set to slow

JAMES WEIR
Last updated 13:35 05/11/2012

Relevant offers

Industries

NZX falls 1 per cent after Brexit result, no panic but could weaken further Road toll breaks for electric vehicles 'interesting question' NZX listing puts price on NZME Staff made redundant from Port Taranaki Ram-raids force dairy owners to sleep on floor of east Auckland shop Toyota New Zealand moves to electric vehicles - the used car way Gym members fume as doors shut at Hamilton Configure Express NZ cigarette plain packaging law would see Imperial Tobacco sue for compensation Japan a land of opportunities for NZ firms We won't own cars any more - we'll share them, forecasts Toyota NZ boss

The economy looks set for slower growth in the second half as “patchiness” continues, according to Westpac Bank’s latest quarterly report.

After a solid performance in the first half of 2012, the economy has lost momentum due to a wobble in the construction-led upturn, the bank's economists said.

The economy grew 0.6 per cent in the three months to June 30, to be up 2.6 per cent from a year before, mainly because of good growing conditions for farmers.

The Canterbury rebuild, good growing conditions and a buoyant housing market are boosting the economy. But on the other side it is facing a slow global economy, a high New Zealand dollar and government belt-tightening.

Since June, conditions had become more challenging for exporters and import competing manufacturers, as a deepening global downturn coincided with a high New Zealand dollar, Westpac said. The dollar was trading at US82.4c today and has been above the US80c mark for most of the year.

“We should expect a lumpy timeline for growth as well as divergence across regions,” Westpac chief economist Dominick Stephens said.

Canterbury was surging forward but parts of the North Island were struggling.

“Lumps and bumps aside, the big picture remains the same - a construction led upturn in economic growth,” he said.

Westpac is forecasting growth of 2.5 per cent in the year to March 30, 2013, picking up to 3.4 per cent the following March year. Unemployment is expected to improve from 6.8 per cent now, to 6.2 per cent in March next year and 5.1 per cent in 2014.

Ad Feedback

- BusinessDay.co.nz

Comments

Special offers

Featured Promotions

Sponsored Content