A warm lead-up to summer tipped

02:23, Nov 01 2013

A warmer than normal start to summer has been forecast for most of the country, according to a new climate summary.

Temperatures between November and January were likely to be near or above average across the country, the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (Niwa) said today.

The only exceptions were the west of the North Island and east of the South Island, where average temperatures were the most likely outcome.

The chances of below normal temperatures across all regions was just 20 per cent.

Rainfall from now until January was likely to be near normal across the country except for the north and east of the North Island, where there could be more rain than usual.

Niwa said the equatorial Pacific Ocean continued to be in a neutral state - neither El Nino nor La Nina - which was likely to persist into autumn next year.

For November, higher-than-normal pressures were expected to dominate the country, resulting in a marked change from the "very disturbed" westerly flow of October.

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