Rain for Manawatu this week
An extra cold or wet winter in Manawatu this year is looking highly unlikely, but the Kathmandu jackets will be out in force in Palmerston North for this week at least.
MetService meteorologist Daniel Corbett said heavy spells of rain could fall in the region late this afternoon and evening, with northerly winds also strong.
Gusts of up to 100kmh were possible in exposed parts of Manawatu and Horowhenua with people driving through Levin, Shannon and the Manawatu Gorge this evening advised to be careful.
MetService has also issued a severe weather watch with heavy rain expected for periods in the upper Rangitikei and the Tararua Range.
There is also a watch for strong winds in exposed parts of the Rangitikei hill country including higher areas of Taihape.
Rain will turn to showers tomorrow, which would continue through much of the week, Corbett said.
"Looking at the temperatures for the end of the week, people will be running back into the cupboard for an extra layer," he said.
"It's extremely mild for the next few days but the cold air will slowly ooze in across the week.
"By Friday the temperature will really drop, night time temperatures will be in single figures and another coating of snow should fall on Ruapehu - it's just another sign that winter's that little bit closer."
Niwa's newly released seasonal climate outlook for May to July shows the rain and cold conditions are unlikely to be a big feature in the coming three months.
There is just a 10 per cent chance that temperatures will be below normal with an equal chance of them being average or above average.
Rainfall totals, soil moisture and river flows are most likely to be in the normal range.
Niwa forecaster Chris Brandolino said even though the trend was for normal weather, there would still be cold spells and frosts.
El Nino conditions were looking increasingly likely for the coming spring, which usually equated to more rain than normal in Manawatu, he said.
- Manawatu Standard
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