Let the games begin

Last updated 13:34 12/09/2008

So the Prime Minister has finally done the decent thing and put us all out of our misery with an election date.

November 8 was no surprise. But the timing of the announcement was. I can't recall if a prime minister has ever announced an election date on a Friday (someone will know). She certainly caught everyone on the hop, which I'm sure was her intention, including the media and National Party leader John Key, who has cut short a day in Christchurch to fly to Wellington for a press conference later this afternoon.

Clark has told us she has had this day free in her diary for some time, and it may well be that she always planned to go today. It is, however, more notice than we have received in previous years. In 2005, she gave seven weeks' notice and in 2002 six weeks.

Calling it a little earlier than expected has some advantages, whether it not it was dumb luck on her part. It draws a line under the Peters saga, and allows her a freer hand to sack him next week, if required after Brian Henry reappears before the privileges committee.

It focuses attention back on Labour and on National after weeks of attention on Peters and his tiny New Zealand First Party. This is as it should be. For too long Peters has dominated the headlines and the airwaves. I don't make any apology for this - his story was the major game in town - but now the election campaign can begin in earnest.

Clark told a presser today that Labour has major policy announcements up its sleeve in health, education, and housing. She also told us that a major plank of the campaign will be trust. To that extent it looks a little like being a reprise of the 2005 campaign, when Labour's "don't put it all at risk'' slogan helped prise swinging voters away from National.

This will be a tougher line to run this time around, given National has already taken on board many of Labour's most popular policies such as Kiwi Saver, Kiwi Bank, Working for Families, the Cullen super fund, 20 hours' free early childhood education and interest-free student loans.

But Clark's line is that National can't be trusted to keep any of them, and Labour will claim throughout the campaign that only a vote for Labour will ensure they are kept. It'll be up to Key to maintain that National won't put any of these policies at risk - a task made slightly tougher because of the secret tapes, which Labour will no doubt drag back out of the cupboard during the campaign.

All the indications are the campaign will again be about leadership, too, and that will suit John Key just fine. He believes he can foot it with Clark on the hustings, and time will tell whether he is justified. But he's up against the best in the business, and Clark has seen off three of his predecessors.

With eight weeks until polling day it's going to be a long campaign. Parliament won't be dissolved until October 3, indicating a five-week campaign proper. But essentially the rubber hits the road today. With Parliament in recess next week, expect all the party leaders to be on the defacto campaign trail. That will also take some of the focus off Peters and the privileges committee.

There's some comment on the blogs that the Labour-leaning Standard website leaked the election date this morning. The Standard wrote there was 58 days until the election. That's November 8. Personally I can't imagine the PM giving Clinton Smith the time of day. But there's a possibility someone in Labour tipped them off. Why else would the website launch its campaign hub today?

Whatever, by blindsiding everyone with an election announcement today, Clark has cleverly used the PM's perogative to name the day to her best advantage. It was one of the remaining cards up her sleeve. She held back the date until the end of her speech at lunchtime, knowing all the TV networks and radio stations were taking the press conference live. Essentially this afforded her a national platform to launch Labour's campaign.

National is furious about that, but unfortunately that is the breaks. Being in government is easier than being in opposition. Key must now deliver an impressive rebuttal before the six o'clock news tonight.

Let the games begin.

239 comments
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GPT   #1   01:44 pm Sep 12 2008

I am continually amazed (grudging admiration even) how Labour can keep a straight face as it makes some of its claims. The latest that this will be a campaign on trust. Arguably this is the least trustworthy NZ govt of modern times. It got in on a wafer thin majority after blowing the budget by just this side of 20% using taxapyers money and in the last week of the campaign. There are all the various (mini) scandals involving Clark (paintergate, doone, speeding etc) and then the various hiccups of varying degrees with ministers (TPF and Winston two of the more obvious). Then there was the reckless decision to empty the coffers (without a mandate) on buying the railways (a decision that is realistically unreversible) and all of that before we get to the current "biggest game in town" Winston Peters and Clarks knowledge/complicity in Peters lies.

The scary thing is that unless National lifts its campaign Clark might just get away with pinning her weakness on National.

As you say Colin, let the games begin.

R.Eason   #2   01:54 pm Sep 12 2008

Great....lets watch how the real deal goes down.

When Key looses out in forming the next govt, as it is his to loose, could all the ranting raving right wingers here please go permanently to Texas and preach their hatred.

Richard Hurst   #3   01:56 pm Sep 12 2008

Blogs it seems are already featuring in this election since among the first questions she was asked was about theStandard and what they knew. Posters and bloggers on the Left and the Right: get your keyboards ready, flex your fingers, breath in and breath out...your time has come :)

NeillR   #4   02:00 pm Sep 12 2008

Listening to Clark's speech, i couldn't help but thinking they'd been slipped some more of National's speeches.

jennifer   #5   02:05 pm Sep 12 2008

No surprise here, is there? Folk have been picking this date, or the 18 October date, for ages now. What I'm particularly looking forward to is the old fashioned rules of journalism about fairness and balance and even coverage now kick in, right? As for Peters, Clark said at the outset that he would be judged in the court of public opnion, and so it will be. The charades and show trials are over with now, or at least now utterly irrelevant. The people will judge him, which is as it should be.

BTW, I understand Winston Peters delivered a speech today having a crack at the media? Anyone seen it?

Carl   #6   02:08 pm Sep 12 2008

AT LAST we know when LABOUR will be gone, and NOT before time.

HC comment about Labour is ambitious for New Zealand. National is ambiguous.

SHOULD READ National INTERGRITY and Labour CURRUPT.

I expect Labourt to make this a DIRTY election like their treatment of the NZ Voters over the last 9 years we have had the DIRTY end of Labour and their tails policy.

ROLL on Nov the 8th.

Jayson   #7   02:10 pm Sep 12 2008

Labour surely can't be serious about campaigning on issues of trust!

blogaroo   #8   02:16 pm Sep 12 2008

Well a few weeks ago Key picked this date because it was the only weekend free inbetween the US elections and a the Beldislow cup game in HK. Hes got the first prediction right - I hope the second of him winning is too! However I'd like to see a marriage with Act.

Tane   #9   02:19 pm Sep 12 2008

Colin, the Campaign Hub was launched yesterday and no, nobody at The Standard was tipped off. The very thought of it is absurd.

In fact, it's actually kind of depressing that the question was asked. I mean, it's all good for our hits and our profile, but isn't it depressing that one of the first questions asked after the election date announcement was about some blog? Talk about getting stuck on beltway issues.

Andy   #10   02:19 pm Sep 12 2008

Excellent, the campaign begins, and looks like a close one. Campaigns have become very important in New Zealand due to the volatile electorate and low party membership levels. This is where the undecided and swinging voters get their impetus. It also puts leadership into sharp focus, will be interesting to see if Key can stand up to Clark, whatever else you might say about her she knows how to run an election campaign.


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