Henry must resist itch to rotate All Blacks

BY RICHARD KNOWLER
Last updated 05:00 01/09/2010

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OPINION: During the troubled period between 1998 and 2003, a time when the Wallabies retained the Bledisloe Cup, there was often some blather about how the Aussies' mental toughness, and their supposed superior intelligence, earned them a psychological edge over the All Blacks.

Having wiped out the All Blacks in a 3-0 series whitewash in 1998, the Australians continually chipped away at their opponents' self-confidence in the following four seasons before the New Zealanders wrenched the trophy back in 2003.

For six summers since then the Bledisloe Cup has remained in Aotearoa, just as it will do so again this season, a legacy of the Richie McCaw-led side having already humbled the Wallabies in Melbourne and Christchurch to ensure they cannot lose the four-test series.

Now, with the trophy tucked away for another year, the question for All Blacks coach Graham Henry is just how much leeway he believes he can offer the Wallabies ahead of the next test in Sydney on September 11. At least one change is certain, with Dan Carter's injured ankle meaning Aaron Cruden will start at No10. Henry may be tempted to make several others to offer players the opportunity of starting in a Tri-Nations international.

This is where Henry needs to be prudent. With Carter a goner, further changes risk placing the All Blacks' stranglehold over the Australians in jeopardy. Henry must recognise that any indulgence to rotate his selections may come at great expense. Having built up a nine-match winning streak against the Aussies, he should recognise that this psychological grip must not be released.

The Wallabies will be backing up for their third test in as many weekends, and will return to Sydney immediately after their test against the Springboks in Bloemfontein on Sunday morning, which means they will be physically and mentally drained. For Henry, this offers the perfect excuse to rotate.

Few would argue if he opted to return Owen Franks back at tighthead prop ahead of big brother Ben. Maybe Victor Vito could get a run ahead of Jerome Kaino at blindside flanker. Israel Dagg could slot into either fullback or left wing. Such amendments would be far from cosmetic, yet they also allow him to retain the skeleton of the team that has won all eight tests this year.

But making further changes could mean busting up the midfield combination of Conrad Smith and Ma'a Nonu, or the loose forward mix of Kieran Read and Richie McCaw, or the locking partnership of Brad Thorn and Tom Donnelly.

By doing so Henry would be offering the Wallabies a glimmer of hope – that maybe they can salvage something from their Tri-Nations campaign if they can halt the All Blacks' unbeaten stretch.

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There is never any place for charity on the international rugby stage and Henry should not start by tossing the desperate Wallabies a meaty bone on September 11.

- © Fairfax NZ News

38 comments
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rexhapi   #38   02:08 pm Sep 02 2010

What biased Canterbury journo Knowler really means is "please resist rotating the Canterbury AB's". Knowler is happy for Kaino to be rested but don't interfere with the loose forward mix of McCaw and Read. Last time I checked No. 6 was a loose forward! Why not rest Read and don't tamper with Kaino and McCaw. Why not rest the aging Brad Thorn, he'll be lucky to make RWC 2011 if he's not rested soon. Maybe give Afoa a run instead of Franks. Of course not...they'e Cantabrians! It seems everyone else is expendable. Notice also how its the "legacy of the McCaw led" side and not the "legacy of Henry's coaching".

KIWICAM   #37   11:40 am Sep 02 2010

PHIG #3 Why all the fuss about Hosea Gear...this is why:-1. Joe Joe aint scored a try this season 2. did you see what Hosea Gear did against England playing for NZ Maori? 3. He was lead try scorer in NPC last year and will be again this year...your arguments are very week!

Nathan   #36   10:50 am Sep 02 2010

Here we go again, Good on ya Henry, I hope you rotate and fail, Wreaking our winning streak, Now I remember why I dont like you..

Gaz   #35   10:02 am Sep 02 2010

@Rugga Fan #3 you could not have got your assessment more wrong if you tried. The All Blacks conditioning coming into the last World Cup was absolutely key to us not performing.

We had a long season in 06 where we sent a full squad to the northern hemisphere, we then decided to sit out most of our players during the Super 14 and they became Gym and Sprint bunnies. During this time we had injuries to Mil Miliania, Richie McCaw, Dan Carter, Kevin Mealamu, Keith Robinson to name a few. This is all typical of gym related injuries. We then pulled together the guys for the Tri Nations and we played against 2nd string South African who had come of the Super 14 competition well conditioned playing rugby, with proven combinations and a winning momentum. If you want guys conditioned to play rugby have them play rugby - Ritchie McCaw was the first one to say post the 07 world cup that was what the All Blacks lacked.

The other point about rotation again was a massive problem. Regardless of how professional the game is it has been proven time and time again that combinations between. Hooker and the lineout jumpers, 9 and 10, 12 and 13, 13 and 15 and the back three are things that work best when they are instinctive. This instinct comes about by consistent selections. This is absolutely critical to a players confidence also and again Aaron Mauger made a big point post world cup on both these important points. If you have a look at the positions I have highlighted above the line out and the midfield in particular have been positions that have let us down time and time again.

The positive news I think about all of this and also the main benefit of keeping on the same coaching staff is that they seem to also have acknowledged that these decisions last world cup were mistakes. I think the All Blacks have had a lucky season this season. We have played a lot of rugby against 14 men and the game in South Africa was perilously close to a loss.

I think the rest for the players that is described in the article above is about right on the mark and the small amount of rotation in particular around key positions for these end of year games should serve us well.

The key is not to over do rotation or reconditioning, ensure the "A" players know that they are that the "A" players, keep combinations instinctive and have the players conditioned mentally and physically to play rugby and we on the right track.

@Scott15   #34   06:21 pm Sep 01 2010

Jimmy Cowan better than Weepu? You dreamer.. Cowan is too slow, takes an age to make a decision. Weepu 1, Cowan shouldn't even be 2.

phig   #33   03:45 pm Sep 01 2010

Sick to death about people (mianly if not only lions supporters) calling for Hosea to be in the team. the guy is not AB material and proves it time after time. He is big and runs fast so what. Can't tackle, can't take the high ball consitently just hangs out on the wing not looking for work... and can't kick i have seen props with more all round skill than him... Let it go

Dan   #32   03:13 pm Sep 01 2010

I just hope whoever pulls on that Black jersey plays with the passion it deserves and beats the Aussies. I don't want to sit in ANZ stadium again after an ABs defeat and listen to how great the Wallabies are.

dmc   #31   02:36 pm Sep 01 2010

So many armchair experts.

How about we let Graham Henry, Wayne Smith and Steve Hansen decide.

They seem to be making a lot of good decisions this year.

If you want to coach, I suggest you all become coaches and if so, a tip would be to leave your regional and personal biases behind.

Chris   #30   02:06 pm Sep 01 2010

Put the best we can out there.I think with Cruden taking Dan Carters place is enough at this stage.When the NH tour begins then start blooding players.As for Hosea Gear i've watched him in itm and can see change in his play,not scoring as much but workrate and defence are improving.Hope he gets a chance for end of year tour.

Mikey   #29   01:29 pm Sep 01 2010

I really do think leave the team as much as possible. The way it works at the moment is close to perfect. The starting 15 gets stuck in and do their jobs, every one of them, and then our reserve bench adds impact and spark as the game goes on. Most of the players have proven so far that they can handle it at the top (Franks bros, whitelock, dagg). Playing Cruden this weekend I agree with though, because with his extra experience we will have almost every position on the field covered with more than capable backup. Bring on 2011


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