Welcome to the Times TipsIAN ANDERSON
Welcome to TimesTips, which will be a weekly feature on the internet for the Waikato Times.
Each week I'll attempt to find some wagering opportunities for our readers in the sports world. As much as my editor would love to provide you with a money-back guarantee of success, alas there's no such thing there's a valid reason why it's called gambling.
However, what I will endeavour to do is try and find possible wagers that offer you ''value''. Let me explain the concept of value.
I often cringe when I hear someone on Radio Sport saying ''I'll definitely be backing the Highlanders this weekend'' or ''no way am I betting on the Warriors'' when there's never a mention of what price they're at, when the odds are the key to wagering.
Let's look at a specific example from earlier this season the Waikato-Bay of Plenty Magic were paying $6 to beat the Melbourne Vixens in their ANZ Championship netball clash in Melbourne. To me, this offered the punter tremendous value to back the visitors.
The Magic had made an awful start to their season, while the Vixens were top of the table with three wins from as many matches.
At $6, a team (or player) in a two-horse race only needs to win one time every five matches to return a healthy profit. I felt the Magic, with a string of quality international players in a side desperate to turn their season around, would win at least one in five times in this situation.
I'll often be asked when I recommend a play like this ''Do you really think the Magic will win?''
The answer, which may surprise some, is no. I don't think they'll win and if I had to make a pick with a gun to my head, I'd be picking the Vixens. But they don't have to win this time just once in five opportunties so I certainly believed the Magic weren't accurately represented in the odds offered.
As it happened, they blew a large lead late in the game. But they showed why they offered ''value'' in the wager and you can't get too results-oriented with a minimal sample size.
Each Thursday, I'll post plays for the European and US PGA golf tours. A number of punters steer clear of golf betting, believing fields of 150 players provide too many variables to make wagering profitable. I beg to differ and have some history on my side.
On Friday I'll aim to look at the likes of Super Rugby, NRL, ANZ Championship and other events closer to home, along with any opportunities that may be presented in the likes of the English Premier League, NBA etc.
I'll post the NZ TAB odds along with the best price available at overseas books. I strongly recommend having accounts at a few overseas books, as they offer better prices, giving you a greater chance at making a long-term profit.
I'll also be keeping a weekly record of how I'm faring. You'll see many tipsters on the internet; none are worth a lick if they don't present accurate records.
I've listed the best available price, with the TAB price in brackets.
Siem $33 ($30)
Jimenez $50 ($40)
Sterne $60 ($50)
Peter Lawrie $66 ($40)
Olesen $66 ($50)
all 1 each way
Singh $100 ($80)
Baldwin $125 ($125)
Huldahl $200 (n/a)
Ilonen $200 (n/a)
all 1/2 each way
The Memorial Tournament
Furyk $26 ($28)
Day $42 ($40)
Ogilvy $58 ($50)
Na $80 ($70)
Petterson $66 ($60)
all 1 each way
Blixt $100 ($80)
Points $125 ($100)
Woodland $130 ($100)
Gainey $250 ($150)
all 1/2 each way
Here's a few plays to hopefully make your weekend.
(NZ TAB odds in brackets)
Cilic $3.60 to beat Del Potro ($3)
Mayer $7.65 to beat Almagro ($5.50)
Haas $3.30 to beat Gasquet ($3.30)
Cowboys -3 $1.90 v Titans x 2 units (-2.5 $1.80)
Dragons +6 $2 v Sea Eagles (+5.5 $1.92)
Knights +14 $1.90 v Broncos (+13.5 $1.87)
Knights $6 to beat the Broncos ($4.40)
Stormers $2.75 to beat the Bulls ($2.20)
- © Fairfax NZ News